RankProgramConferenceRank in Conf.StateRank in StateChange from 20192019 Rank2017 Rank2015 Rank The transfer outfielder will look to anchor this NC State lineup that lost key pieces over the offseason. Those pitches (in order of usage) are a cutter, slider, and the occasional curveball, all bending in anywhere between 94 and 75 mph, with the sliders shape and velo sometimes bleeding into the other two. Whitaker went for both length and quality against Wagner, lasting seven innings and not allowing a run, striking out three. Still, there are all kinds of hit tool red flags here, both in the data and in Williams visual scouting report. He tends to work contact to center and right field, especially against fastballs, and he has a clear two-strike approach where he ditches his leg kick and takes a more conservative swing. Previous ranking: No. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. For a further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, please read this and this. Lewis chronic injuries have kept him on this list forever, but were still betting that his tools and personhood will eventually turn him into a good multi-positional big leaguer. When LSU hired Jay Johnson away, Berry was one of several players who transferred out of Tucson, following Johnson to Baton Rouge. In 2023, Dugas is off to a good start, slugging two last week along with a .700 average. Simply put, hes one of the most unique offensive threats in the sport. Frelick has a hit-over-power offensive skill set that fits in center field, where were projecting hell improve defensively over time. Quants and front office analyst types are more bearish, citing issues with Priesters fastball playability. His ball-blocking is still pretty rough, though. McGarry still has below-average control and only throws his pitches for strikes at a 60% clip, but hes come a long way since his days at Virginia, when he was walking a batter per inning and was passed over in the 2020 draft. His 39.8% strikeout rate was the highest in the minors among qualified pitchers last year, and he fanned 186 batters in just 113 innings. Green struck out in a third of his varsity at-bats in 2021, and swung and missed more than he put balls in play during that years summer/fall showcase circuit before things improved during his senior year of high school. Because Carroll runs such deep counts, his strikeout rates have been higher than one might expect given his reputation as a plus contact hitter. He was seen a ton as a junior because he played at IMG, which was home to a lot of 2021 draft prospects and served as competition for others. Speaking of the slider, Allens has gotten much better in pro ball. It seemed plausible he might eventually grow into meaningful power, too. Meanwhile, his walk rate increased by a wider margin post promotion, and he displayed a knack for picking out punishable fastballs, though hes still a bit vulnerable to well-placed breaking balls out of his reach. He actually looks more comfortable and accurate making max-effort throws from deep in the hole than he does when moving toward the first base line. Montgomery raked his way to Double-A, where he spent the last couple weeks of his first full pro season as part of Project Birmingham, a de facto instructs and evaluation period for Chicagos best mid- and upper-level prospects. The staff of Baseball America determines the Top 25 rankings. On defense, Rodriguezs size is both a feature and a bug. Because fate was cruel to his playing time in college, his pro data sample is already much bigger than his college one, which has helped reveal that he has premium feel for the strike zone. Still, hes poised to be a franchise cornerstone for the Orioles looming renaissance. 19 Last Week: 4-0 Overall: 6-1, 0-0 in Pac-12 (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 20: vs. UC Santa Barbara (Surprise, Ariz.): W 11-0 Feb. 24-27: Coppin State: W 11-1, W 16-0, W 19-5 Upcoming March 2-5: @ Cal PolyOregon State took care of business with a sweep of Coppin State in its home-opening weekend. There were reasons to be skeptical or apprehensive about declaring Chourio one of the games top prospects, especially at the onset of his breakout. Lesko looked like he had two plus pitches on board as a high schooler. Add to that his plus-plus defense at an up-the-middle position, and hes on track for star-level everyday center field role. In a 2022 split evenly between Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus, he slashed an impressive .263/.392/.496 with 21 homers and 20 steals, walking nearly as much as he struck out while with the Rubber Ducks. His mid-90s fastball missed bats up in the zone and above it, and he commanded all three secondaries, with above-average spin across the board. 38OregonPac-125OR226644626 LHP Xavier Rivas Delaware was no match for Rivas, who struck out eight and allowed just one hit. 11 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 5-2, 0-0 in SEC (1-1 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: Grambling State: W 9-7 Feb. 24-26: Eastern Illinois: W 13-2 (7), W 10-3, L 12-3 Upcoming March 1: Illinois State March 3-5: Wright StateArkansas largely took care of business at home last week and won a series against Eastern Illinois. 17. Hope that his many late-bloomer characteristics (multi-sport, Northeast background, reps lost due to a 2019 knee surgery and then the pandemic) would lead to an eventual breakout in the power department buoyed his draft stock into the middle of the first round. Even when he cuts his leg kick with two strikes, there is enough bat speed and power for Chourio to do huge damage. Teams 21-30 The Volunteers improved to 23-1 on the season. More than 51% of his contact comes off his bat at 95 mph or higher, and 21.1% of that is hit at a launch angle within the sweet spot range for power production. At age 14, thin as a rail, he was already hitting balls out of big league spring training stadiums during workouts. . 41Wake ForestACC11NC5115242NR Bibee now looks like a polished mid-rotation prospect. Youll also notice that there is a Future Value outcome distribution graph for each prospect on the list. When he returned, he was a completely different hitter. 69 to No. To call Naylors 2022 a return to form isnt exactly correct, however, because much of his resurgence was due to swing alterations that made his bat path a little more variable, which he outlined in an interview with our own David Laurila. A few factoids: The SEC leads all conferences with 13 teams (out of its 14 current members) in the Top 100. Busch has continued his long track record of excellent offensive performance so far in pro ball. At times, it has typical sink and tail; at others, it has sink and careens toward Allens glove side like a slider. Baty has also consistently been a high groundball rate hitter, at least 51% at every full-season level until his 42% mark with Double-A Binghamton in 2022, where he spent the bulk of the year. In his first four games, Montgomery slashed .429/.600/.786 with a home run. He issued more strikeouts and lowered his WHIP, all while racking up more innings and advancing two levels without showing many growing pains in the process. Graceffos velocity has exploded since he left the Main Line, and hes now nearing the big leagues as a contenders fourth starter. There Painter showed more refinement, incorporating a handful of changeups into his outings and displaying an ability to vary breaking ball shape in different situations. Soderstrom may end up like Bryce Harper and Wil Myers, where the As cut bait on him catching to get his excellent bat to the big leagues sooner. 30Coastal CarolinaSun Belt2SC1-10201733 Before his departure for ESPN, Kiley McDaniel used the great work of our former colleague Craig Edwards to find the base rates for each FV tier of prospect (separately for hitters and pitchers), and the likelihood of each FV outcome. LSU lost its first game of the year, but still posted a winning. Nelson used his fastball about 65% of the time in 2021 and 61% in 2022, both at the upper boundary of what is typical for a big league starter. It makes sense that there has been some second base experimentation here over the last few years, as Ramos range and actions make it plausible that he could eventually fit there, and Colson Montgomerys third base projection might force the issue. Cue the Hunter Pence comps because Mayos swing is still wacky looking and odd, but it clearly works for him. His fastball has done a ton of damage at the top of the zone and is a legit plus-plus pitch. Even while being a relatively free-swinger, hes only struck out at a 15-17% clip since entering full-season ball and has a rare hit/power combination for a catcher, though he has been a little bit older for each level. C Josiah Cromwick Cromwick is a popular name for the Ducks after a productive sophomore season in Eugene. Hes a lovely, loose rotator for a hitter his size and is willing to use the opposite field when pitches are away from him. 78RiceC-USA5TX9-43352320 33DukeACC8NC463982NR Previous ranking: No. The area where its most imperative for Tovar to show improvement is his plate discipline. 64) and Georgia. Flores velocity tapered off some in 2022 but he threw more strikes than expected, enough to now project as a starter. 5 after sweeping a road series at then-No. Stone was an athletic small-school prospect with a powerful drop-and-drive delivery and short, vertically-oriented arm action who the Dodgers selected late in the shortened 2020 draft. A quality series against Charlotte is on tap this weekend. Theres no present danger that he needs to revisit third base (which he played plenty of in high school and early in pro ball) or anything like that, and Naylor continues to project as a 2-WAR primary catcher. Waldichuks command is better than his small 2022 big league sample and he should stabilize as a mid-rotation piece. This guy hasnt had a clear defensive home for much of his life as a prospect. Hes still likely to get to enough power and play good enough defense to be an impact regular for Arizona. Obviously hes ranked here as if hes set to become a star player anyway. Lefties with plus command and plus changeups tend to overachieve and Allen is exactly that, poised to play a mid-rotation role relatively soon. Big league pitchers will be able to limit the damage Turang does by working him in the bottom half of the zone, where he struggles to lift the ball. His changeup is only fair right now, and his command still comes and goes, and even though he didnt walk nearly as many hitters in 2021 as he did in college, there was still relief risk here even before his elbow blew out. His in-zone contact numbers improved throughout 2022, even after promotion. Hes going to be a middle-of-the-order anchor in Oakland fairly soon. If theres a real long-term concern that has become evident as a result of Yorkes year, its that he seems injury prone and has now had several disruptive maladies in the last couple of years. Add to that performance his track record as a clubhouse favorite with natural leadership abilities and his multi-positional utility, and Lewis is primed for an everyday role as soon as his health allows. His rare raw thump has already begun to manifest in games, as Cartaya clubbed 22 homers in 2022, a season after he dealt with multiple injuries that severely limited his playing time. Right now, hes notching six outs every five days or so, a number the org would surely like to see increase as he ramps up his innings. Yorke and his French swing (because it is evocative of Ty France) looked like a high-probability big league hitter with a well-rounded contact and power combination in Arizona, enough to project as a regular if he can stay on the dirt. Previous ranking: No. By the middle of 2022, Bibee was sitting 95. Theres still risk Rafaela walks the Cristian Pache path, as his issues are similar to the ones that have apparently undone the young Athletic, but more likely hes akin to Kevin Pillar, and there are scouts who think Rafaelas frame will continue to add strength such that he hits for more power than Pillar was able to. Wesneskis slider is really nasty and his entire repertoire fits nicely together. 54West VirginiaBig 127WV115573NR He produced a 150 wRC+ when healthy and was making among the highest rates of hard, airborne contact in the minors when he got hurt. 22East CarolinaAmerican1NC34263851 He worked in the 89-93 mph range as a high schooler, then exploded in college, hitting 100 mph as a freshman and sustaining upper-90s velocity when he finally moved to the rotation as a fourth-year junior in 2021. He gets a lot of swing and miss on his slider, both in and out of the zone, and commands it well. Mauricio is both What They Look Like and What They Look Like When They Bust. He is a huge-framed, switch-hitting shortstop with power from both sides of the plate and a rocket arm, but his swing decisions are often so reckless that even though hes coming off a 20/20 season at Double-A, hes still an extremely volatile prospect. Jacksonville March 3-5: (10) MiamiFlorida took care of business with a sweep of Cincinnati, outscoring the Bearcats, 42-16. A free swinger with huge pull power, Ramirez has performed in the low minors despite offering at just about anything. 65). Unique defensive versatility (C/2B/OF) and premium feel for contact make Rodriguez a core part of Pittsburghs future. A game Tuesday at Texas looms before LSU heads back to Baton Rouge for the weekend. Hes on pace to compete for a big league rotation spot in 2024 and work a full slate of innings, assuming a standard 20-inning bump year over year. 10StanfordPac-122CA112223031 Lever length still limits Batys ability to make consistent, quality contact in certain part of the zone, but he still shows you impressive barrel control as he tries to get the bat where it needs to be. Williams has a prototypical baseball frame at a strapping 6-foot-2, and has the range, actions, and internal clock to remain at shortstop long-term, as well as a great infield arm. His feel for contact and for the zone already gave him a high floor. But if he can pick up where he left off, he still looks capable of becoming an important tent pole in the Nationals rotation as they continue to rebuild. Of the teenage hitters on the list, Zavalas feel to hit is probably the most polished. Espino had taken another leap at the onset of 2022, sitting in the 98-102 mph range with a fastball that sometimes had 20-23 inches of vertical break during the spring. Watch film back into the 2022 regular season and Rocchios issues arent as severe, but its still a mixed bag on defense. The floor here is XL Freddy Galvis with worse defense, but there will be some peak seasons where more of the power plays and he produces like a star. Manzardo put up video game numbers at Washington State, slashing .336/.404/.533 during his time with the Cougars and walking nearly as much as he struck out during his draft year. Previous ranking: No. PCA played just six games at Low-A in 2021 before missing the remainder of the season with a labrum injury. He began the 2022 slate on a delay and rehabbed in extended spring training until the very end of April. 64) and Georgia Southern (No. Alabama, Georgia, Indiana have four teams apiece on the list. at High-A Wisconsin for the last month of the season. Parada was the rare high-profile California high schooler who left the state for college, traveling all the way to Atlanta for two years at Georgia Tech. Subscribe to get the best baseball coverage. And Chourio has that kind of power. Copyright 2023 Baseball America Enterprises. He struggled to frame low pitches and one-hoppers would find a way through his wickets. 11 to No. Moores numbers are impressive enough as it is. Bradleys fastball utility, command, and athleticism enable deep projection on his secondary pitches into his 20s. Any discussion of Walker begins with his exit velocities, which are nearly unheard of for a player this young. Previous ranking: No. Its possible some of this is simply the growing pains of a teenage pitcher, and its also possible that this is what Jones stuff will be under the stress of a pro seasons worth of innings. OHoppes feel for contact makes him a likely everyday catcher. 46CampbellBig South1NC62268NRNR The 20-year-old finished the season having performed exactly at the Double-A league average over his 86 games there despite being about four years younger than the average player at that level. JohnsBig East3NY3-46484442 The progress Williams made at ECU amid these issues (some of which date back to high school) was remarkable. This is an attempt to graphically represent how likely each FV outcome is for each prospect. Carter looks like a high-OBP, table-setting center fielder in the Brandon Nimmo mold. 1 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 6-1, 0-0 in SEC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: @ Southern: W 18-4 Karbach Round Rock Classic (Round Rock, Texas) Feb. 24: vs. Kansas State: W 7-3 Feb. 25: vs. Iowa: L 12-4 Feb. 26: vs. Sam Houston State: W 16-4 Upcoming Feb. 28: @ Texas March 3: Butler March 4-5: Central Connecticut StateLSU took its first loss of the season Saturday against Iowa, but bounced back to rout Sam Houston State to be named champion of the Karbach Round Rock Classic. Its fair to consider him a high-floor, low-variance prospect because Romos defensive ability and rocket arm make him very likely to be a plus defender at maturity, and even a one-note style of offense (Romo both lacks power and is relatively impatient) tends to profile at catcher. There is still a front-end arm here, as well as a big, sturdy-looking frame that theoretically should be able to eat a ton of innings. OF Braden Montgomery Remember this guys name. The lefty-swinger went 7-18 with two homers and five runs batted in. Louisiana Tech; 33. His range and actions at third base are both fantastic, and hes an accurate thrower from all sorts of awkward platforms, but there are times when he lollipops deeper (and even some routine) throws over to first base. Jackson profiles as a true dynasty manager's dream, showing plus grades in contact . His curveball has a 12-6 shape, and hes deployed the pitch to particularly devastating effect against left-handed opponents; between the two levels, only one lefty has recorded a hit on the curveball. 43NebraskaBig Ten4NE18514340 Arroyo hit for a surprising amount of power at Low-A Modesto before he was sent to the Reds as part of the Luis Castillo trade, golfing out 13 homers and slugging .514. Abel has a strong natural proclivity for spinning his breaking stuff, and his low-to-mid-80s slurve is already an above-average pitch and could be a 70-grade shove machine at maturity. Merrill only hit .325/.387/.482 in 45 Cal League games, a line good for a 125 wRC+ in the hitter-friendly league and aided by a .393 BABIP. When Lee does take a comfortable hack, he shows you plus raw power, but his style of hitting is very balanced, and he doesnt sell out for huge pop all the time. 48Virginia TechACC12VA24593NR79 He sometimes sets up to block breaking balls too quickly, tipping off baserunners and peeking hitters to whats coming. His plus velocity and uphill approach angle make Halls fastball extremely difficult for hitters to get on top of, and righty batters who are trying to anticipate the heater often end up embarrassing themselves against his changeup, which generated a whopping 54% whiff rate in 2022. For a relatively compact hitter, Arroyos swing is swift and explosive. Zavala isnt as physically projectable as some other youngsters on this list, but he might have a better hit plus power profile thanks to the rotation and subsequent bat speed he generates in his athletic, lefty swing. While some of those skills are still bricks in Carrolls baseball-playing foundation, he has developed much more power than even the most optimistic amateur projections. UConn; 40. OF Chris Cannizzaro Cannizzaro and sophomore phenom Carson DeMartini had the same slugging percentage and batting average this past week, but Cannizzaro gets the edge due to his three walks. Given the 2022 performance of some of their young 40-man occupants (strike-throwing issues for Ryan Pepiot, Andre Jackson), Miller might be Los Angeles most reliable in-season option to make a start if one or more of their projected starters goes down with injury. Turang can really play shortstop, has feel for the strike zone, and makes a fair amount of contact. Williams injury history and the relative violence of his delivery kept him just outside the 50 FV tier on the Cleveland list, even though he had a strong pro debut and spent most of the year at Double-A Akron. As far as defensive projection is concerned, a boxy frame, medium straight line speed, and an awkward running gait push and pull against Mayers defensive instincts, first-step quickness, and strong arm. Walker worked out as a pitcher, shortstop, and third baseman in high school, then had a rough draft spring amid some weight gain, which is part of why he fell deep into the first round. It looked like he would continue his dominant performance at the higher level. When he can get the barrel out there, though, hes a threat to do extra-base damage the other way because of his bat speed. Theres an All-Star-caliber hit and power combination here, and while a bigger pro data sample might reveal some approach-related issues, Johnson has been one of the best hitters his age for going on a half decade and feels like a relatively high-probability high school hitting prospect. Hes added a hard slider/cutter to his amazing-looking curveball, but his fastball still doesnt miss bats and his report reads like Aaron Sanchezs did. He was the fifth ranked prospect on our 2022 Draft Board but was picked 13th, enough to merit some reconsideration as to whether Neto belongs in the 50 FV already. I Poll - Pre-season", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (2-21-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (2-28-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (3-7-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (3-14-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (3-21-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (3-28-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (4-4-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (4-11-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (4-18-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (4-25-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (5-2-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (5-9-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (5-16-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (5-23-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (5-30-22) - Collegiate Baseball Newspaper", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (6-7-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (6-13-22)", "Collegiate Baseball Div 1 Poll (6-27-22)", "OREGON STATE TOPS NCBWA DIVISION I POLL", "Tennessee (45-7) tops NCBWA Division I Poll", "Tennessee (49-7) tops NCBWA Division I Poll", "Tennessee (53-7) tops NCBWA Division I Poll", "Tennessee (56-7) tops NCBWA Division I Poll", "Ole Miss (42-23) tops final 2022 NCBWA Poll", "C2022 D1Baseball Preseason Top 25 Rankings", "D1Baseball Top 25: Texas Holds Strong, Liberty, Maryland Enter Rankings", "D1Baseball Top 25: Sacramento State, UNC Join Rankings", "D1Baseball Top 25: Tulane, Clemson, Gonzaga Enter Rankings", "D1Baseball Top 25: Ole Miss Takes Over No. The SEC leads all conferences with 13 teams (out of its 14 current members) in the Top 100. With some marque matchups this weekend, we should learn more about where these teams should stand. That bat speed, in conjunction with his short levers, allows him to track pitches well, resulting in impressive swing decisions for such a young player. Montgomery did not look good at shortstop during that stretch, falling short of the positions high bar in most facets (range, hands, arm strength). The sophomore first baseman produced a 1.953 OPS with a home run and a pair of triples. What if Michael Brantley played shortstop? 34UC Santa BarbaraBig West1CA39433756 For the best pitching staff in the country, Beam picking up the slack will be key to a productive season. Martinez made that less likely. Were betting on Hassell in part because hes a very competitive guy who seems hellbent on maxing himself out. If he does that while getting to most of his power, hell be one of the better players in baseball its just that De La Cruz has struck out a concerning 30% of the time. Keith made his 2021 pro debut solely as a position player and moved into the top 100 in the middle of 2022 on the strength of his offensive performance, most notably his huge uptick in power. Drew Rom. 3B Brayden Taylor Taylor is already a top draft prospect, with many expecting him to raise his stock throughout the season. After hitting .278/.373/.556 with San Jose, he was promoted to High-A and struck out at a 37% clip during the final month of the season. Synergy Sports has film of Collier seeing about 1,300 pitches since 2020, a gigantic sample for a teenage prospect. Even as various aspects of his profile remain amorphous, Ramos offensive performance to this point and optimism that hell ultimately be able to play at least one infield position well as he matures put him on the Top 100 despite his variance. After an uptick in fastball velocity a couple of years ago, Olsons four-seamer is still resting comfortably around 94-95 mph. A high-probability shortstop with a long-limbed, projectable frame, Hernandez was your traditional international amateur who excels in a workout environment. LHP Henry Weycker Virginia Techs entire pitching staff had a good week, with quality outings from each of their starters. Its hard to know how much of that was caused by the back issue, which may have been compromising his movement. Long, lanky and loaded with tools and projection, Alcantara is a loose, 6-foot-6 outfielder with massive potential. A prospect ; s dream, showing plus grades in contact a of... And rehabbed in extended spring training stadiums during workouts ( some of which date back to high school was. Carter looks like a high-OBP, table-setting center fielder in the Top of the season with a home run with! A relatively compact hitter, Arroyos swing is still wacky looking and odd, but it clearly works him. Henry Weycker Virginia Techs entire pitching staff had a good week, with expecting... 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